How Germany’s CDU is digesting its historic defeat
The beleaguered and defeated Christian Democratic Union (CDU) is about to hold a conference of its local chairmen to find a way out of its impasse.
In the heat of a crisis, the party leadership has decided to rely on a body that has always existed but rarely played a role in the party’s politics. On October 30, just before Halloween, the chairmen of the CDU’s nearly 330 district associations are to sound out the future of the party — the party of departing Chancellor Angela Merkel, the party that has governed Germany longer than any other. Soon after that, all of the party’s main leadership posts are to be newly elected.
This course of action highlights the magnitude of the party’s current crisis. It exceeds the crisis that followed 1998, when the party, weary from 16 years in government, had to find itself anew after Helmut Kohl’s resounding defeatin the Bundestag elections. Back then, Wolfgang Schäuble became the party leader. Angela Merkel, then 44 years old, was ready as the new secretary-general after eight years as a federal minister.
In January 2021, Laschet (center) won the party chairmanship, beating Friedrich Merz (left) and Norbert Röttgen (right)
Young forces are missing
Since the Bundestag election at the end of September, which brought the CDU the worst result in its history, tensions in the party have escalated. Many believe that party leader and chancellor candidate Armin Laschet is to blame for the result, though others suspect there are other reasons. The two Union parties, the CDU and the Bavarian CSU, are bickering even more openly than before the election, blaming each other.
Another problem is playing out in the background: in 2020 the number of party members fell below 400,000, only ten years after it slipped below 500,000. The party is outdated: More members are dying than young members are joining. It is also the crisis of the people’s party.
Losing candidate Armin Laschet, meanwhile, continues to struggle. When he sent out invitations at short notice to a press statement last week, many expected a resignation announcement. Instead, he merely announced a shake-up in the CDU federal leadership.
New elections for all offices
What this shake-up would look like was clarified by General Secretary Paul Ziemiak after a leadership meeting that lasted several hours: New elections are to be held for all offices: party leader, general secretary, the entire presidium, and the federal executive committee.
It is unique to elect all of these offices outside of the usual timetable, and two aspects stood out when CDU Secretary-General Ziemiak explained this path. First, his strong statement “Everything that happened in this election campaign must be put on the table. It has to happen brutally-openly, in all candor.” The other was his repeated emphasis that this new clarification should happen by the end of the year, if possible. “We all know the window of opportunity is the turn of the year.”
Time is of the essence
The urgency is evident because of the timetable for the next state elections, three of which are due by mid-May 2022: Saarland, Schleswig-Holstein, and North Rhine-Westphalia. In all three states, the CDU currently leads the state government. It can only defend power — or lose it. On the other hand, many members remember that after the 2013 and 2017 federal elections, the repeated promises to come to terms with mediocre results never really took place, in their view.
But why now the district chairmen’s conference? At first, it seems as if a struggling party leadership is simply playing for time. As a rule, the meetings of the district chairmen are routine, but these 330 members offer at least as much a reflection of the party’s mood as a large party conference. And far more than the federal executive committee.
The party base
This was shown in mid-April, for example, during the showdown over the chancellor candidacy between Laschet and CSU leader Markus Söder. To resolve the conflict, the deputy party leader of Rhineland-Palatinate, Christian Baldauf, called for a conference of district chairmen then because they are the most important representatives of the “grassroots” of the party. Moreover, they could be convened at short notice.
But the CDU has traditionally been reticent about letting its members make decisions.
Baldauf’s proposal went unanswered in April. The CDU federal executive board ultimately decided on the chancellor candidacy — and unanimously supported Armin Laschet. For that reason, many of the district chairmen expect a reckoning with the current party leadership. In an interview with DW, one member expects the Merz supporters to “dominate”.
41-year-old Health Minister Jens Spahn has voiced ambitions in the past, but may lack inner party support
Few celebrities
All the more interesting is the composition of the committee. Among almost 330 district chairmen there are also many who do not live from politics but actually have a main job. And only a few “prominent figures” in the party still hold a district chairmanship, neither Friedrich Merz nor Jens Spahn nor Norbert Röttgen. But eight of the 27 elected members of the federal executive committee are also district chairmen — and they will expect to listen to strong criticism. And even higher is the number of district chairmen who — whether from Berlin, Trier, Stuttgart, or other cities — were Bundestag members and were thrown out by the defeat of 26 September. Disappointed, frustrated.
So all the tensions that are currently straining the CDU will come together in the district chairmen’s conference, including the frustration, the anger, and the formation of opposing camps. The next few weeks are likely to be a tense time in the party.
This article was translated from German.
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Article source: https://www.dw.com/en/how-germany-s-cdu-is-digesting-its-historic-defeat/a-59480603?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf